Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.457198 4.037662 4.654860 5.356837 6.129944 6.952363 7.890288
2024-10-20 2.634109 3.434300 4.347773 5.454243 6.744684 8.189153 9.915007
2024-10-27 1.977265 2.875268 3.972746 5.380398 7.105617 9.120139 11.618404
2024-11-03 1.593593 2.563332 3.823102 5.519704 7.685161 10.299539 13.635537
2024-11-10 1.288281 2.288916 3.667004 5.607676 8.174959 11.364392 15.532510
2024-11-17 0.992876 1.966604 3.393194 5.495167 8.375140 12.052007 16.965465
2024-11-24 0.757244 1.682533 3.126597 5.350565 8.500500 12.624471 18.247581
2024-12-01 0.597330 1.484888 2.955184 5.311978 8.748608 13.345978 19.721867
2024-12-08 0.464485 1.302174 2.778080 5.239655 8.931204 13.971155 21.071994
2024-12-15 0.408594 1.253526 2.810286 5.479928 9.561080 15.209748 23.252041
2024-12-22 0.332385 1.142991 2.720740 5.517242 9.888805 16.035086 24.890404
2024-12-29 0.302516 1.127997 2.796528 5.819944 10.615883 17.427611 27.316684
2025-01-05 0.264220 1.085952 2.821907 6.047674 11.249282 18.720874 29.659238
2025-01-12 0.218077 1.010193 2.773704 6.147162 11.688948 19.750075 31.661710
2025-01-19 0.164524 0.893140 2.626974 6.063694 11.836583 20.359828 33.092069
2025-01-26 0.137754 0.845626 2.615315 6.213592 12.353132 21.511711 35.295615
2025-02-02 0.111933 0.789471 2.576391 6.308406 12.780002 22.536382 37.331836
2025-02-09 0.079866 0.690892 2.426985 6.185813 12.844246 23.021013 38.605651
2025-02-16 0.054058 0.595965 2.267827 6.028461 12.838636 23.394091 39.719155
2025-02-23 0.038278 0.532574 2.173371 5.986419 13.019836 24.047768 41.241701
2025-03-02 0.025501 0.469165 2.065979 5.907715 13.131257 24.592456 42.609566
2025-03-09 0.022243 0.466530 2.123372 6.168930 13.837262 26.064447 45.351297
2025-03-16 0.015793 0.429402 2.077007 6.209465 14.156453 26.939807 47.225945